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Assessing the risk of cyclone-induced storm surge and sea level rise in Mozambique (James E. Neumann, Kerry A. Emanuel, Sai Ravela, Lindsay C. Ludwig, Caroleen Verly)

This article considers the impact of sea level rise and storm surge on the port cities of Maputo and Beira in Mozambique. By combining a range of sea level rise scenarios for 2050 with the potential maximum storm surge level for the current 100-year storm, we analyze permanently inundated lands and temporary flood zones. In Beira, our analysis finds that a medium Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change scenario consistent with Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change projections through 2050 could increase the frequency of the current 100-year storm, which is associated with a storm surge of roughly 1.9 meters, to once every 40 years. The results in Maputo show similar and even more dramatic changes.

Copyright: WIDER, UN-University, Helsinki

Weblink: http://www.wider.unu.edu/publications/working-papers/2013/en_GB/wp2013-036/

Created Date: 19-10-2015
Last Updated Date: 30-11-2015
License: Link only
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